
I find the Netflix story completely compelling and I'm not even a customer. After all, here's a business that, on the day it was started, knew it would die quickly if it didn't immediately begin to change.
In case you're not familiar, Netflix makes money by mailing DVDs to subscribers at their request. After the subscriber watches the DVD (movies, games, etc.) they mail it back and receive a new one. The company was founded on the premise that Blockbuster's business model was flawed; specifically related to their system of charging high fees for movies returned late. From the start, Netflix was a commercial success and the company has experienced strong growth.
But Netflix's founder and CEO, Reed Hastings, knew from the start that a business that mailed content, in this case DVDs, would have a relatively short lifespan. It would only be a matter of time until Netflix's customers would be able to experience the exact same content on demand, instantly and probably at a lower cost. In other words, Netflix's "real" competition isn't Blockbuster or another DVD mailing service, it would eventually be the satellite, telco, cable or ISP. More than likely it would be some combination thereof.
So even though the company generates over $1.3 billion in revenues, it is currently in the process of tearing itself down so that it can rebuild. Imagine how painful that must be for the average Netflix employee. There are no sacred cows here. Instead, Netflix has accepted the reality that the skills that produced the first $1.3 billion would not be the same skills that produce the next $1.3 billion.
What's unique about Neflix isn't their business situation, it's their acceptance of it. All business models eventually die and are replaced by more efficient business models. Sometimes this transition takes decades (steel, automobiles) while other times it seemingly happens overnight (fax machines, travel agencies).
After all, when is the last time you faxed your vacation plans to your travel agent?
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On the topic of lesson learned, I have also been wondering what we can learn from the failure of the American Express social media site MembersKnow.com that was launched about 2 years ago, and was shutdown a month ago.
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Curious, were you a member of membersknow.com? What were your thoughts on it - did it create value for you as a cardmember?
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The Phase I Industry has had this same question posed for several years. The most recent was the potential for environmental insurance to replace a Phase I ESA and now we are dealing with significant decrease in Phase I activity for a prolonged period (without a "replacement" on the horizon). We convince ourselves that with all the CRE loans coming due in the next two years, the volume must return to normal, but will it? Many banks and note buyers are performing little or no due dilignence buying debt as they feel they are purchasing it at such a discount, they have a "cushion" if an environmental issue arises or they have no time to perform due diligence (e.g. auction). We, as environmental professionals, must plan for the day where Phase I's no longer drive our business, but leverage our skill sets in other areas and new markets (e.g. green technologies) and adapt accordingly. Your blog post is very timely Rob as always, thanks.
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Very interesting theme, Rob, and I think Sean's comment is very well put and something many EPs are afraid/unwilling to say. I'm curious: what aspects of EDR's business model do you think will need to be dismantled to achieve future growth/competitive edge? The running joke among EDR employees is that someday we'll come into the office to find we've been bought by Google. A web-based model seems like it would be much more efficient than the customer service-based model we currently have. What do you think?
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Well, for starters I think abanding a customer-service model in favor or a web-based model would be suicidal. The very nature of our type of information publishing (re-purposing government information) means the information has flaws and that humans need to support other humans who work with the information.
What I do think will change, model-wise, is the concept that the vessel that contains our information needs to be a "report". At some point in the future (again, maybe tomorrow or maybe in 10 years) I'll bet EDR sells very few "reports". Instead, anyone experiencing EDR information will be doing so inside of an application and/or device.
Just as "news" does not have be be consumed in a newspaper (think web or Kindle), environmental info does not need to be consumed in the form of a report.
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I just saw a tweet about an interesting blog re: google's role in spurring innovation inside real estate
http://ow.ly/gX0E
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